What changed

The agent shows every decision it makes and what that decision cost. This is the same, for the project itself.

  1. It goes looking, and it shows you what it saw

    Someone paid for a watch on a project that four crypto feeds were never going to mention. Everything downstream of the watcher was sound and pointed at the wrong haystack.

    A paid watch is now searched for by name through Orbio’s metered web search, on the agent’s own key and against that watch’s own budget. Looking is bounded: a cap per round, four hours between rounds, and an allowance of 30% of the watch, so the rest stays for proof.

    Their page used to show nothing at all unless an investigation ran, which made a week of correct restraint look identical to a week of doing nothing. It now lists every claim the agent clustered, what it scored, and why it passed.

    • first round found four real mentions in minutes
    • all four scored 0.12–0.14 and cost nothing to pass on
    • $0.0088 of the first customer’s dollar spent so far
  2. The token prices itself

    Watches can be paid for in HUNCH as well as USDG. The rate was posted by hand, and within an hour it was wrong in both directions — at one point crediting 41% of what the tokens were worth.

    Payments in the token are now priced off recent trades plus a 20% bonus, read from the chain every scan. USDG is untouched at a dollar for a dollar: the token is the better way to pay, never the only way.

    Pricing no longer trusts a single pool address either, because liquidity moved once already — the launch curve, then an AMM.

    • ORBIO priced from trades too, within 2% of CoinGecko
    • one payment can never credit more than $100
  3. Paid in a wallet, credited in a second

    The watch page builds both calls itself — the token approves the contract, the contract moves it — so nobody has to paste calldata into a wallet.

    A watch used to be credited on the agent’s scan cycle, so someone could sit on a pending page for fifteen minutes with their money already sent. Opening a pending watch now checks the chain immediately.

    • measured: credited one second after payment, down from up to fifteen minutes
  4. The agent has a token, and it pays for the work

    Hunch launched on Orbio’s agent launchpad as agent #210, paired with ORBIO. Trading fees are collected by the vault, staked as ORBIO after its share, and that stake earns CREDIT.

    The agent claims that credit with its own key, on its own schedule, and spends it investigating. It cannot touch the staked principal: only the launching wallet can, and only after the cliff.

  5. Watches: prepaid investigation budget, paid on chain

    A watch is what Hunch sells. You name a project and the words people use for it, you pay, and that payment becomes the watch’s budget. The reserve and the per-investigation cap apply to your money exactly as they do to the house’s.

    Payment is a receipt, not a vault: the contract moves the token straight to the treasury and emits an event the agent reads. It never holds anyone’s money, so there is no balance to drain.

    • a quiet week costs nothing
    • a full investigation runs about two cents
  6. It refuels itself

    When its runway runs short the agent buys CREDIT with USDG from its own treasury on Robinhood Chain and activates it to its own Orbio account.

    The first automatic attempt was refused by the public RPC’s bot challenge. It now signs locally and broadcasts through fallback endpoints.

    • two confirmed refuels, one on its own policy
    • 2 USDG bought $2.67 of inference, confirmed in the balance
  7. Workers bid for the job

    The source-tracer and cross-checker are hired by auction: each worker bids its expected cost at real prices, and the best reputation per dollar wins. The verifier is appointed, because the judge should not be whoever bids lowest.

    Reputation is graded by code, not by a model. Did it name the true earliest post? Do its quotes appear word for word in the documents it cited?

    • a worker that slipped below the quality floor stopped being hired
  8. Hunch, live on Orbio

    An agent with a finite inference budget that watches public sources for free and pays for proof only when a hunch is strong enough. It holds its own Orbio key, mints and rotates it itself, and records every cent with the balance before and after.

    • built for Orbio Build Week

Every number here was measured on the live agent, not estimated. The demo narrative on the console is a planted fixture and says so; the treasury is funded by its operator, and the agent does not earn that part.